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INTEREST RATES

Polymarket Bettors Set 54% Odds on a Fed Rate Hike This Year After Warsh's Debut

Polymarket Bettors Set 54% Odds on a Fed Rate Hike This Year After Warsh's Debut

At present, prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket place the likelihood of a 2026 rate hike at 53% to 54%.read more

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Ditches Rate Signals, Bitcoin Slides as Nasdaq Bounces 1.5%

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Ditches Rate Signals, Bitcoin Slides as Nasdaq Bounces 1.5%

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Holds Firm as Energy Prices Lift Inflation

Kevin Warsh’s Fed Holds Firm as Energy Prices Lift Inflation

Warsh Faces His First Test June 17 as Traders Hunt for Hidden Signals in the Fed's Dot Plot

Warsh Faces His First Test June 17 as Traders Hunt for Hidden Signals in the Fed's Dot Plot

Ontop Uses Opentrade APIs to Turn Idle Payroll Cash Into 3% APR Rewards

Ontop Uses Opentrade APIs to Turn Idle Payroll Cash Into 3% APR Rewards

Traders Price Zero Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 as New Fed Boss Kevin Warsh Inherits 3.8% Inflation

Traders Price Zero Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 as New Fed Boss Kevin Warsh Inherits 3.8% Inflation

Despite Warsh Replacing Powell at the Fed, Traders See No Rate Cut Coming in June

Despite Warsh Replacing Powell at the Fed, Traders See No Rate Cut Coming in June

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.5–3.75%

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.5–3.75%

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price out 2026 Cuts

Markets Flip Script as Fed Hike Odds Overtake Cuts for First Time in 2026 Cycle

Markets Flip Script as Fed Hike Odds Overtake Cuts for First Time in 2026 Cycle

Bank of Japan Holds Rates as Inflation Risks Mount

Bank of Japan Holds Rates as Inflation Risks Mount

FOMC Keeps Interest Rates Steady, Ignoring Trump’s Call to Cut

FOMC Keeps Interest Rates Steady, Ignoring Trump’s Call to Cut

President Trump Calls for Emergency Federal Reserve Meeting to Cut US Interest Rates

President Trump Calls for Emergency Federal Reserve Meeting to Cut US Interest Rates

Fed Holds Rates Steady While Two Policymakers Call for a Cut

Fed Holds Rates Steady While Two Policymakers Call for a Cut

BOJ Hike Watch: Why Japan’s Next Move Has Traders on Edge Worldwide

BOJ Hike Watch: Why Japan’s Next Move Has Traders on Edge Worldwide

January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter

January Odds Scream ‘No Rate Change’ While Powell Shuts Down New Fed Chair Chatter

Federal Reserve Pulls the Trigger on a Quarter-Point Cut

Federal Reserve Pulls the Trigger on a Quarter-Point Cut

Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone's Bracing for the Aftershock

Markets Bet the Farm on a Fed Cut — Now Everyone's Bracing for the Aftershock

Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift

Fed Rate Cut Odds Jump to 84% on Thanksgiving as Traders Lean Into December Shift

Fed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for 'Large' Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data

Fed Governor Stephen Miran Calls for 'Large' Rate Cuts Amid Rising Jobless Data

CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

CME Futures and Betting Markets Align on Fed’s Potential Quarter-Point Cut in December

Fed Officials Split as Markets Price in December Rate Cut

Fed Officials Split as Markets Price in December Rate Cut

Kalshi, Polymarket, and CME Agree: The Fed’s About to Cut

Kalshi, Polymarket, and CME Agree: The Fed’s About to Cut

Fed Rate Watch: Consensus Leans Hard Toward a Quarter-Point Slice

Fed Rate Watch: Consensus Leans Hard Toward a Quarter-Point Slice

Coinshares: Fed’s Trim Lands Softly; Bitcoin Stays Flat and Volatility Tightens

Coinshares: Fed’s Trim Lands Softly; Bitcoin Stays Flat and Volatility Tightens

Fed ‘Dot Plot’ Projects More Rate Cuts by End of 2025 and Beyond

Fed ‘Dot Plot’ Projects More Rate Cuts by End of 2025 and Beyond

Markets Eye Fed’s Rate Path With Crypto Facing Uncertain Spillover

Markets Eye Fed’s Rate Path With Crypto Facing Uncertain Spillover

Markets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim

Markets Brace for Fed Rate Cut as Futures and Prediction Markets Show Near-Certain Trim

Traders Price Zero Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 as New Fed Boss Kevin Warsh Inherits 3.8% Inflation

Traders Price Zero Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 as New Fed Boss Kevin Warsh Inherits 3.8% Inflation

Despite Warsh Replacing Powell at the Fed, Traders See No Rate Cut Coming in June

Despite Warsh Replacing Powell at the Fed, Traders See No Rate Cut Coming in June

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.5–3.75%

Federal Reserve Holds Interest Rates Steady at 3.5–3.75%

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates at 3.75% as Traders Price 99% Odds for April 29 FOMC

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