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Short Sellers Target Bitcoin Miners as Reward Halving Nears, $2 Billion at Stake

This article was published more than a year ago. Some information may no longer be current.

A recent report highlights that the collective short interest in stocks from 15 bitcoin mining companies has approached the $2 billion mark. The performance of these mining stocks has declined compared to their stronger start earlier this year, coinciding with the proximity of just 663 blocks remaining until the next reward halving.

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Short Sellers Target Bitcoin Miners as Reward Halving Nears, $2 Billion at Stake

Impending Bitcoin Halving Triggers Short Bets on Mining Stocks

Marathon Digital (Nasdaq: MARA), a prominent publicly-listed bitcoin mining company, has seen its share value diminish by over 17% in the last five days, with a total drop of 19.7% over the past month. Similarly, Cleanspark (Nasdaq: CLSK) experienced an 11.7% decline during the same five-day period and a 9.7% decrease over the month. Like these, most mining stocks have underperformed recently, with the upcoming reward halving just about five days away.

The recent decline in price has decreased the hashprice, or the anticipated daily value of 1 petahash per second (PH/s) of hashing power, to $100 after falling from $119 just three days ago. Should the hashprice stay at this level, the impending reward halving will significantly tighten miners’ revenue. A further drop in price could exacerbate the situation. The prospect of financial difficulties for mining firms has spurred short positions against 15 publicly listed mining companies.

Short Sellers Target Bitcoin Miners as Reward Halving Nears, $2 Billion at Stake
Source: Bloomberg

Bloomberg disclosed on Sunday that as of April 8, 2024, the short interest in these mining firms is approaching $2 billion, with a substantial $867.4 million of that focused on Marathon Digital (MARA). Short sellers also heavily target Cleanspark (CLSK) and Riot Platforms (RIOT). In anticipation of Bitcoin’s fourth reward halving, at least a dozen of these companies have invested significantly in acquiring tens of thousands of new mining machines and expanding their facilities. Furthermore, no one’s projections factored in geopolitical tensions as the halving approaches.

As Bitcoin’s fourth reward halving draws near, the landscape appears challenging for miners. Recent price drops from highs signal tougher times ahead, especially for smaller operators and those using outdated equipment. Even large publicly-listed mining firms are feeling the pressure, with significant declines in stock values. Short sellers are wagering that these trends will continue, betting heavily against the sector’s stability.

What do you think about the short sellers targeting publicly listed bitcoin mining entitities? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.