A wager valued at $155K on the prediction platform Polymarket is betting on Vice President Kamala Harris emerging victorious in Tuesday’s debate against former President Donald Trump. According to the latest polls, Harris holds a commanding 76% chance of winning, with the data being updated as of 2 p.m. EDT on Monday.
Harris Leads in Debate Betting, But Trump Dominates Swing States, Polymarket Shows
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Polymarket’s $155K Bet on Harris Debate Victory
Democrat Kamala Harris is poised to come out on top in the upcoming debate against 2024 Republican candidate Donald Trump. As per the rules on Polymarket, “This market will resolve to ‘Kamala’ if Ipsos/538’s opinion poll indicates Kamala Harris won the ABC-hosted debate.” By Monday afternoon, Harris was leading with a solid 76% chance of winning. Opinions have already begun swirling from bettors on Polymarket, adding to the topic.
“Look at Trump’s rallies in 2024,” one person remarked. “He has lost his juice. Kamala may not have his swagger, but she’s a nerd and will ‘win’ the debate easily, at least according to media,” the commenter continued. Another person disagreed with the commenter and stated:
Trump at 3:1 all day. Kamala just isn’t ready for high-pressure situations. Got clobbered in [the] DNC debate. She cackles because she is anxious and nervous. Dems have had a real primary and picked an electable candidate.
In early August 2019, following her first debate in June, Harris’s national polling numbers stayed stubbornly low, hovering between 7-9%, according to the records. While Harris holds a 76% chance of winning the debate, another Polymarket wager puts Trump in the lead with a 52% chance to come out on top, compared to Harris’s 46%.
Trump is also ahead in four of six swing states, claiming Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Georgia, according to Polymarket bettors. Additionally, there’s a 27% chance, according to another wager, that the two candidates will shake hands before the debate begins. Polymarket users are also placing bets on whether Trump will drop certain phrases like “Border Czar,” “Drill Baby Drill,” “Comrade Kamala,” and whether he’ll say “Make America Great Again (MAGA)” three times.
What are your thoughts on the bettors placing wagers on the Trump-Harris debate outcome? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.
