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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls vs. Bears—Who Will Dominate the Next Move?

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Bitcoin traded between $96,992 and $97,447 over the last hour on November 25, 2024, with a market capitalization of $1.92 trillion, a 24-hour trade volume of $47 billion, and an intraday price range spanning $94,119 to $97,577, reflecting a period of consolidation amid broader market uncertainties.

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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls vs. Bears—Who Will Dominate the Next Move?

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Bitcoin‘s one-hour chart indicated short-term consolidation between $94,500 and $97,000, with low volume suggesting reduced trading activity during this range-bound movement. Key support was identified at $94,091, while resistance remained firm at $98,490. If bitcoin were to break above $97,000, it could signal renewed bullish momentum, whereas a drop below $94,500 could lead to further downside. Volume spikes during major price declines hinted at selling pressure overpowering weak recoveries.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls vs. Bears—Who Will Dominate the Next Move?
BTC/USD 1H chart via Bitstamp on Feb. 12, 2025.

The four-hour chart reinforced the short-term bearish outlook, as bitcoin continued to struggle following its recent downtrend from $102,754. With support around $91,530 and resistance at $102,754, traders observed selling pressure intensifying near critical resistance levels. Despite brief recoveries, the lack of strong volume confirmed weak bullish attempts. A potential breakout above $97,500 could signal a shift in momentum, but failure to hold above this level may result in further declines.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls vs. Bears—Who Will Dominate the Next Move?
BTC/USD 4H chart via Bitstamp on Feb. 12, 2025.

Daily chart analysis showed bitcoin consolidating within the $94,000 to $96,000 range after a larger decline from its recent high of $109,356. Key support was identified at $89,164, while resistance stood at $109,356. Volume fluctuations suggested traders were responding to major price movements, with increased activity near critical price levels. A bullish reversal would require strong volume support around the $94,000 region, whereas a drop below $92,000 could trigger further downside pressure.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bulls vs. Bears—Who Will Dominate the Next Move?
BTC/USD 1D chart via Bitstamp on Feb. 12, 2025.

Oscillators reflected mixed signals, with the relative strength index (RSI) at 45 indicating a neutral stance, while the Stochastic at 35 and the commodity channel index (CCI) at -83 also showed neutral readings. The awesome oscillator registered a negative value of -3,481, confirming weak momentum. However, the momentum indicator at -644 signaled a buy, suggesting that some traders anticipated a potential reversal. The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) level stood at -1,059, reinforcing a sell signal amid prevailing bearish conditions.

Moving averages painted a predominantly bearish picture, with the 10-period exponential moving average (EMA) at 97,499 and the 10-period simple moving average (SMA) at 97,217 both signaling sell conditions. The 20-period EMA at 98,613 and the 30-period SMA at 100,653 also indicated selling pressure. However, longer-term moving averages provided some bullish support, as the 100-period EMA at 93,498 and the 200-period EMA at 84,276 reflected stronger underlying support levels. Bitcoin’s ability to reclaim higher levels would depend on increased trading volume and a break above immediate resistance zones.

Bull Verdict:

Bitcoin’s ability to hold support above $94,000 and reclaim the $97,500 level suggests potential upside, with long-term bullish catalysts such as institutional adoption, exchange-traded fund inflows, and the upcoming halving event reinforcing a positive outlook. If bitcoin can break above the $98,500 resistance zone with strong volume, a push toward the psychological $100,000 level becomes increasingly likely, keeping the long-term bullish trajectory intact.

Bear Verdict:

Persistent selling pressure, weak volume on recovery attempts, and a failure to break key resistance levels indicate that bitcoin remains vulnerable to further downside. A break below $94,000 could trigger a drop toward $91,500, with macroeconomic uncertainty and technical indicators favoring continued bearish momentum. If bitcoin cannot reclaim $97,500 in the near term, sellers may push the price lower, extending the current corrective phase.

About the author

WRITTEN BYJamie RedmanNews Lead

Jamie Redman is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News and a financial technology journalist based in Massachusetts.