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Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election

This article was published more than a year ago. Some information may no longer be current.

Two days ago, former President Donald Trump made headlines by announcing his family’s decentralized finance (defi) platform, World Liberty Financial, boldly claiming the initiative is “embracing the future with crypto.” Meanwhile, over on Polymarket, a blockchain-powered predictions platform, a new bet has emerged. People are now speculating on the chances of Trump launching a cryptocurrency before the election. As of this weekend, Polymarket users are betting with 69% confidence that this could become a reality.

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Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election

Will Trump Release a Crypto Token? Polymarket Bets $1.95M on It

The burning question on everyone’s mind: Will Donald Trump and his sons introduce a new crypto asset to accompany their fresh defi venture? Polymarket certainly has its participants eager to see how things unfold. As of now, there’s a wager on Polymarket titled “Will Trump launch a coin before the election?” with the total value sitting at $1.95 million.

The rules of the bet state:

This market will resolve to ‘Yes’ if conclusive, definitive evidence emerges that Donald Trump was involved in the deployment of a new token by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to ‘No.’ The resolution for this market will be based on a consensus of credible sources.

On Saturday, Sept. 14, an archived snapshot of the market shows bettors giving Trump’s potential token a 69% chance of launching. Two days earlier, when Trump first made his announcement, the odds jumped from 40% to the current 69%. Still, anticipation lingers, as the official unveiling of World Liberty Financial (WLF) won’t happen until Sept. 16.

Bettors on Polymarket See 69% Chance of Trump Launching a Token Before Election
Polymarket Trump Coin bet as of Saturday, Sept. 14, 2024.

Trump has scheduled a live appearance on X Spaces (formerly Twitter) at 8 p.m. to introduce WLF. While there’s a buzz about the possibility of a Trump-branded cryptocurrency, some skepticism is creeping in, as seen in the wager’s comment section. One user noted, “Things not looking good for yes bettors.”

There’s also a chance the Trump family might stick to launching a defi application that integrates with existing cryptocurrencies, leaving the idea of a new coin on hold. There’s even the possibility a token could arrive post-election, as many defi projects run promotions before eventually airdropping their tokens.

What are your thoughts on the likelihood of Donald Trump rolling out a new cryptocurrency? Share your thoughts and opinions about this subject in the comments section below.